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THE INDEPENDENT GUIDE TO BOWMAN FOOTBALL2026 PROSPECTS · 1ST BOWMANS · AUTOGRAPHSUPDATED SEP 22, 2026
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THE PROSPECTING DESKPlayers first. Cards second.
QB · Texas · Senior

Arch Manning

1st Bowman verifiedCHROME AUTO
PPG73.8OVERALL#53QB#174-GAME FORM55.8LATEST GAME54.0
CHROME PROSPECTALT-1Chrome auto · BCPA-AMA
PAPERBPP-ALT1
CHROMEALT-1
CHROME AUTOBCPA-AMA
PAPER AUTONOT LISTED
PLAYER STATS

2026 season & career

Loading current player stats…
SCOUTING NOTEBOOK

The read right now

Updated 2026-09-22

Separate the late-game response from passing efficiency. The Ohio State win is a useful pressure test, but one comeback cannot settle the NFL projection.

NEXT CHECK

Test passing consistency after the UTSA game; resolve the official yardage discrepancy before using cumulative totals.

BOWMAN CHECKLIST

His 2026 Bowman cards

Paper and Chrome are separate prospect entries. Prospect autographs add a verified signature checklist appearance; inserts and variations are separate collecting paths. This is a format hierarchy, not a price or scarcity ranking.

Topps describes parallels, but a complete first-party football odds/serial-number matrix was not available in this audit. No baseball parallel structure is imported. Serial numbering is not an estimate of total print run.

2 base appearances · 1 autograph appearances · 2 insert / variation appearances. Counts describe checklist rows, not distinct print runs.

These are the official checklist appearances we have mapped. We only show serial numbering when we can source it.

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1ST BOWMAN

Is this his 1st Bowman?

1st Bowman verified
Why we call it this · 2 sources
Older Bowman check: 12 releases, 6,186 checklist rows

Direct evidence is listed below.

Name search: "Arch Manning" Bowman

Complete Bowman U NOW archive pagination was inaccessible (403); indexed coverage is incomplete. Same-name legacy Bo Jackson results refer to the Auburn legend and are excluded. Regional/team releases without available first-party checklists remain unverified.

Source 1: 2021-22 Bowman University FootballSource 2: 2022 Bowman University Chrome FootballSource 3: 2022-23 Bowman University Best FootballSource 4: 2022-23 Bowman University InceptionSource 5: 2023 Bowman University Chrome FootballSource 6: 2023 Bowman University Best FootballSource 7: 2023 Bowman University Chrome Football SapphireSource 8: 2024 Bowman University Chrome FootballSource 9: 2024 Bowman University Best FootballSource 10: 2024 Bowman University Chrome Football SapphireSource 11: 2025 Bowman University Chrome Football ChecklistSource 12: 2025 Bowman University Best Football
RESEARCH FILEIdentity, open questions & evidence gapsOpen file

Texas; QB; Senior; 6-4; 222 lb.

Source 1: Texas: Arch Manning official profileSource 2: Texas 2026 cumulative statistics
school
Texas (verified)
position
QB (verified)
class
Senior (verified)
Date of birth
Unknown (unknown)
measurements
6-4 / 222 lb (verified)
recruiting
Top national high-school recruit: No. 1 from 247Sports, On3 and Rivals, No. 2 from ESPN, reported by Texas. (partial)
2026 statistics
Texas’s cumulative table through September 19 records 60/97 passing, 664 yards, seven touchdowns and two interceptions in three games. The UTSA game-book / biography yardage discrepancy remains open; this is the cumulative table’s reported value, not an independent reconciliation. (partial)
Draft eligibility
Unknown (unknown)
NFL consensus
Unknown (unknown)
Next catalyst
Test passing consistency after the UTSA game; resolve the official yardage discrepancy before using cumulative totals. (editorial)
Source 1: Texas: Arch Manning official profileSource 1: Texas: 2026 cumulative passing through September 19
  • Full date of birth not verified; age is not inferred from class.
  • Complete 2026 cumulative statistics through September 21 are not verified; dated games and prior seasons remain separately labeled.
  • Draft eligibility and a current independent NFL consensus remain unverified; a school award or watch list is not consensus.
  • Verified athletic testing, availability history and position-specific advanced charting are incomplete.
PPG METHODHow the 73.8 grade was built60% supported

We have support for 60% of the normal grade inputs. A player needs at least 60% before we publish a PPG. Missing pieces stay missing.

ComponentWeightScore / confidenceWhy
production25%75medium61.39% completions with 26 TD/7 INT across 13 games support established prior production, with room for consistency; full starting season, mature college stage and top national high-school pedigree.Source 1: Arch Manning: official season / game evidenceSource 2: Texas: Arch Manning official profileSource 3: Texas 2026 cumulative statistics
ageClass15%55medium61.39% completions with 26 TD/7 INT across 13 games support established prior production, with room for consistency; full starting season, mature college stage and top national high-school pedigree.Source 1: Arch Manning: official season / game evidenceSource 2: Texas: Arch Manning official profileSource 3: Texas 2026 cumulative statistics
role15%85medium61.39% completions with 26 TD/7 INT across 13 games support established prior production, with room for consistency; full starting season, mature college stage and top national high-school pedigree.Source 1: Arch Manning: official season / game evidenceSource 2: Texas: Arch Manning official profileSource 3: Texas 2026 cumulative statistics
physical10%UnavailableunavailableInsufficient evidence for this component.
pedigree5%90medium61.39% completions with 26 TD/7 INT across 13 games support established prior production, with room for consistency; full starting season, mature college stage and top national high-school pedigree.Source 1: Arch Manning: official season / game evidenceSource 2: Texas: Arch Manning official profileSource 3: Texas 2026 cumulative statistics
consensus20%UnavailableunavailableInsufficient evidence for this component.
risk10%UnavailableunavailableInsufficient evidence for this component.
See the full PPG method →
GRADE HISTORYGrade history73.8 PPG · 8 checks · unchanged

No meaningful grade movement yet. We keep the checks so the first real change has a clean baseline.

DatePPG7d / 30d / seasonRankModel
2026-09-17T12:00:03.513ZInsufficient dataNot measured / Not measured / Not measuredUnrankedbowman-ppg-v1.0
2026-09-17T12:01:03.832ZInsufficient dataNot measured / Not measured / Not measuredUnrankedbowman-ppg-v1.0 · correction
2026-09-17T12:13:29.755ZInsufficient dataNot measured / Not measured / Not measuredUnrankedbowman-ppg-v1.0
2026-09-22T11:45:00.635Z73.8Not measured / Not measured / Not measured28bowman-ppg-v1.0
2026-09-22T16:34:28.321Z73.8Not measured / Not measured / Not measured28bowman-ppg-v1.0
2026-09-23T12:51:43.562Z73.8-7.5 / Not measured / Not measured35bowman-ppg-v1.0
2026-09-23T14:48:24.458Z73.8-7.5 / Not measured / Not measured35bowman-ppg-v1.0
2026-09-24T04:16:58.722Z73.8-7.5 / Not measured / Not measured53bowman-ppg-v1.0
PROVENANCE

Sources

Card identity checked 2026-09-16 · Player research updated 2026-09-22

Open 9 sources